2034 Arcerion Federal Election

The 2034 Arcerion Federal Election will take place on or before February 15, 2034 to elect Members of Parliament to the Confederate Parliament of Arcerion.

The date of the electoral vote will be determined by the provisions within the Arcerion Elections Act, which requires that federal election organized and conducted by the Electoral Service of Arcerion will be held not before the fifteenth day of the second month of the year, in this case 2034. As encoded in the Arcer constitution, this election takes place within the 4-year election cycle of Arcerion's federal government.

The election may occurr before the given date should the incumbent Prime Minister, Iain Donnegal, call for a dissolution of Parliament (with the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of Arcerion's concurrence). As well, the election could take place before the assigned date should the Confederate Parliament conduct a vote of non-confidence against the sitting government. This is unlikely to occur however due to the Arcerion Reform Party's majority status.

The election will use the existing 161-constituency map of Arcerion based across its five governorates.

Background
The 2030 Arcerion Federal Election, held on February 12th that year saw relatively little change for the sitting majority from the Arcerion Reform Party. The incumbent sitting government under the leadership of Prime Minister Iain Donnegal remained in office, as they had since the 2018 Arcerion Federal election. Prime Minister Donnegal also carried the popular vote during the 2030 election. The Liberal Coalition of Arcerion lost fifteen seats, mostly to the Arcerion National Party but managed to remain in their position as the Official Opposition in Parliament.

On August 31st, 2033 Prime Minister Donnegal announced that he would not be seeking re-election. The following day on September 1st, the Arcerion Reform Party released a statement that Jack Tomlinsion-Gray, the Member of Parliament for Easthampton Central would be the interim party leader and likely federal election candidate for the upcoming federal election.

Issues
The major issues for the election as determined by public opinion polls done by the Arcerion Broadcast Service, were a mixture of domestic issues such as a growing international pressure to adopt green and renewable energy despite large Arcer fossil fuels reliance, as well as international issues such as Foreign Policy relating specifically to diplomatic rapprochement with The Cape and Tierrador.

Energy
Arcerion's energy sector, despite a growing number of green energy sources such as renewable energy and nuclear power continues to face pressure under international legislation, primarily form the League of Nations on renewable energy sources and the limiting of fossil fuels. It was seen by many political commentators as a strategic decision by the Arcerion Reform Party to run with Jack Tomlinson-Gray as the front runner for the centre-right party as Easthampton is a heavy coal mining municipality and one of the centres of Arcerion's fossil fuels sector. As well, concerns about the impacts to the economy of Howland Governorate, which is predominantly based on the extraction, refinement, and processing of liquid natural gas and oil from the Albion Sea Gas Fields was of great concern to Arcer voters. The Arcerion Reform Party reiterated its stance as "pro-Arcer energy" which political commentators defined as being ambivalent to international legislation, and non-committal to binding resolutions from the League of Nations. This stance was taken further by the Arcerion National party, who avowed to "double-down" on Arcerion fossil fuels as an industry, including mining. Adverse to this, the Liberal Coalition of Arcerion unrolled a strong plan to pursue more renewable and non-nuclear sources of power, such as wind and solar. When questioned on their hesitation to condone an expansion of nuclear energy, Jeffery B. York, the Party leader described the party's position as "..not opposed to nuclear power but not interested in further investment from the federal government at this time, as there is better alternatives available."

Foreign Policy
Other issues critical to the Arcer electorate centered around legal and illegal migration of people to Arcerion, notably through Kelekona, and via boat in the Malentine Sea, to Arcerion. This is largely in part due to the ongoing Varshan Refugee Crisis, which has seen a high proponent of illegal migrants surge to Arcerion's borders, stressing the ability for the Arcer federal government to manage their commitment to human rights and respecting the dignity of persons while also ensuring basic needs and services are met of the existing Arcer citizens and permanent residents in the affected areas. Disproportionately, this has affected Foxhey, Norham and Northlea Governorates, and it is expected this will be a keystone issue.

In addition to the migrant crisis, the Arcer public was seen as in favour of political reconciliation with Tierrador and The Cape. The wish for intra-Cronan cooperation was driven by the initially positive results of increased trade from the Cronan Union, which saw an easing of goods export and import restrictions across Arcerion and the rest of South Crona (namely Alstin and Paulastra). While the sitting Reform Government has been the centrepiece for these diplomatic overtures, the Liberal Coalition has signalled it wishes to take these efforts further, contrary to the Arcerion national Party which seeks a more isolationist or less globally-focused strategy.

Lastly, global aid and development is a headline issue for Arcerion, as part of the Arcosphere Arcerion has brought modern energy, infrastructure (such as rail and electricity), and healthcare to much of South Crona. Building on this, many Arcers polled said they would like to see increases to this not only in South Crona and nearby neighbours such as Telonaticolan and Copacaban, but also with other economic partners such as Stenza and Burgundie. In Foxhey, the new shipbuilding programmes with the modern AVISO corvette program made trade with Burgundie a keystone election issue in 2030.

Malentine and Songun Trade
Foxhey wanting commercial shipbuilding yard expansion

concerns about albion sea crisis affecting inflow of gas

National Security
terrorism

maritime security & piracy