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The '''2018 Urcean institutional referendum''', also known as the '''Crown referendum''' within [[Urcea]], was a referendum that took place in [[Urcea]] on 2 February 2038. Following six months of campaigning, the referendum returned an overwhelming majority in support of retaining the Monarchy. At 72.5% turnout, it was among the most participated electoral events in the history of the [[Constitution of Urcea|constitutional era]].{{Infobox referendum
{{Infobox referendum
| name        = Urcean institutional referendum
| name        = Urcean institutional referendum
| title      = {{box|type=transparent|Should Urcea retain the institution of the monarchy?}}
| title      = {{box|type=transparent|Should Urcea retain the institution of the monarchy?}}
Line 10: Line 9:
| yes        = 695003029
| yes        = 695003029
| no          = 109398625
| no          = 109398625
| total      = 804401654
| total      = 804521339
| electorate  =  
| electorate  =  
| map        = [[File:United Kingdom EU referendum 2016 area results.svg|border|center|250px]]
| map        = [[File:United Kingdom EU referendum 2016 area results.svg|border|center|250px]]
Line 19: Line 18:
| outcome    = Urcea retains the [[Apostolic King of Urcea|Monarchy]]
| outcome    = Urcea retains the [[Apostolic King of Urcea|Monarchy]]
}}
}}
[[Category: Urcea]]
[[Category: Politics of Urcea]]
[[Category: IXWB]]
== Background ==
=== Political realignment ===
Main article: [[2015 Urcean political realignment]]
== Legislation and referendum question ==
Following the adoption of republicanism as part of the [[Social Labor Party (Urcea)|Social Labor Party]] (SLP) platform in early September 2017, several high profile efforts were made by party members in the [[Concilium Daoni]] to bring attention to the issue. Primarily, several SLP delegates attempted to introduce what are known as "hostile amendments", which are unauthorized and often unrelated amendments to legislation brought before the Daoni. Fourteen such attempts were lodged between 14 September and 28 September. On 28 September, following a conference between [[National Pact (Urcea)|National Pact]] and [[Union for National Solidarity (Urcea)|Union for National Solidarity]] leadership, a hostile amendment calling for a referendum on the monarchy lodged by the SLP was unexpectedly accepted on an unrelated local bill and passed with support from both parties. The move caught Social Labor leadership off guard, and [[Ronan Cornelius Marcán]] denounced [[Chancellor and Temporary President]] [[Bridget Farrell]] as using "underhanded tricks" to "undermine a fair and democratic process". The law was approved by [[Procurator]] [[James Fallshade]] and the referendum was suddenly set for 2 February. During the vote, members of the [[Julian Party (Urcea)|Julian Party]] announced the referendum to be illegal considering that the [[Concilium Daoni]] did not have sovereignty apart from that constitutionally granted by the [[Apostolic King of Urcea]], and consequently that the Daoni could not authorize a vote to dissolve its own source of sovereign power.
The question included in the 28 September Act asked "''Should Urcea retain the Apostolic Monarchy or abolish it in favor of a Republic?''", language drafted by Social Labor Party leadership. The answers, "''Retain the Monarchy''" or "''Establish a Republic''" were also included in most of the initial hostile amendments proposed by the Social Labor Party.
== Referendum campaign ==
On 1 October, two opposing official campaigns related to the referendum were established, pursuant to the language included in the 28 September Act. The '''Campaign for Maintenance of the Monarchy''' (CMM) was established as the official campaign to maintain the Monarchy, and on 2 October both the [[National Pact (Urcea)|National Pact]] and [[Union for National Solidarity (Urcea)|Union for National Solidarity]] reached agreements to be official affiliates of the CMM. The '''Democratic Effort''' (DE) was formed to forward the establishment of a Republic, and it became affiliated with the [[Social Labor Party (Urcea)|Social Labor Party]]. The [[Julian Party (Urcea)|Julian Party]] officially boycotted the referendum campaign and filed a suit in the Archducal Court to halt the referendum. In October 2017, the [[Social Labor Party (Urcea)|Social Labor Party]] divided over the issue of the referendum and the party's affiliation, and 14 of its [[Concilium Daoni]] delegates formed the Organic Caucus. The Organic Caucus formed a legislative alliance with the Union for National Solidarity, forming the semi-official [[Retainer Party (Urcea)|Retainer Party]].
On 10 January [[2018]], a debate was held between [[Livio Iarnán]] on behalf of the Campaign for Maintenance of the Monarchy and [[Ronan Cornelius Marcán]] on behalf of the Democratic Effort. Respondents and polls believe Iarnán won the debate, but only by a slight margin. The debate had the primary effect of increasing Iarnán's name recognition and personal approval significantly. On 20 January, the [[Concilium Daoni]] officially suspended business for a week and a half in order to allow its members to fully campaign throughout the country.
== Responses ==
=== Opinion polling ===
==== Initial October 2017 poll ====
{| class="wikitable sortable"
!Monarchy
!Republic
!Undecided
!Lead
!Sample
|-
|'''64.3%'''
|8.2%
|27.5
|56.1%
|8,492
|}
==== Day of poll ====
{| class="wikitable sortable"
!Monarchy
!Republic
!Undecided
!Lead
!Sample
|-
|'''xxx'''
|xxx%
|xxx
|xxx
|xxx
|}
==== Exit poll ====
{| class="wikitable sortable"
!Monarchy
!Republic
!Undecided
!Lead
!Sample
|-
|'''xxx'''
|xxx%
|xxx
|xxx
|xxx
|}


==Background==
=== Levantine responses ===
==Legislation==
==Referendum question==
==Campaign==
==Responses to the referendum campaign==
===Retainer Party===
===International response===
==Results==


[[Category: Urcea]]
=== Non-Levantine responses ===
[[Category: Politics of Urcea]]
The response to the decision to hold a referendum outside of [[Levantia]] was generally favorable. Leadership or major parties in several nations - including [[the Cape]] and [[Ardmore]] - expressed support for the [[Social Labor Party (Urcea)|Social Labor Party]]'s efforts to establish a republic.
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